XRP price is stuck in the 206-day range as the Q3 Bitcoin rally, stablecoin laws, and $2 support aim to trigger a breakout—key levels in focus.
The price of XRP has been in a sideways trajectory for 206 days.
What can investors anticipate for the third quarter, given the absence of directional bias, the decrease in volatility, and the conclusion of the second quarter?
XRP Price Performance In Q2 2025
The token price of XRP is $2.09, and the year-to-date returns are 0.49%.
The ongoing consolidation is the primary factor contributing to the XRP price’s lackluster performance, which increased by 0.17% in the second quarter.
The token has been drifting sideways, with volatility decreasing, since it reached an all-time high (ATH) of $3.40 on January 16, 2025.
Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a 14% increase year-to-date and a nearly 30% increase in the second quarter, as TradingView data indicates.
At the same time, Ethereum’s (ETH) second-quarter returns are approximately 35%.
Why Has XRP Not Done Well?
Regulatory Uncertainty: The investor interest present after 2024 has been diminished due to the protracted SEC lawsuit and the lack of clarity.
Furthermore, Ripple was unsuccessful in a critical judicial battle when Judge Torres rejected the joint motion of the SEC and Ripple in the ongoing lawsuit.
Volatility Plays: The price of XRP experienced a significant increase in the latter half of 2024, resulting in a return to its 2017 highs.
Periods of consolidation are frequently the consequence of an increase in volatility.
The XRP price is locked in a seven-month consolidation due to a significant increase in volatility in late 2024.
Geopolitical Uncertainty: The Iran-Israel war has impacted XRP and other risk assets.
Risk assets have implemented consolidation strategies as a consequence of the escalation.
Will 7-Month Drop In XRP End In Q3?
Several catalysts could potentially terminate the seven-month consolidation of XRP.
1. Given that Bitcoin is only 5% from its all-time highs, it is imperative that investors remain vigilant regarding the primary cryptocurrency.
A breakout above new highs could indicate a shift in capital allocation toward altcoins.
In this scenario, the consolidation of the XRP price will probably conclude.
2. David Sacks, the crypto czar, indicated that July will be a significant month and suggested that the bill signature for GENIUS will provide the much-needed clarity around stablecoins.
This will likely result in Ripple’s RLUSD being thrust into the limelight, particularly in light of Circle’s substantial success following its IPO.
This could also improve the outlook for XRP.
Ripple recently issued 12 million RLUSD in response to the increasing competition among stablecoins.
3. Additionally, the 206-day consolidation period has unintentionally established a low volatility regime that an expansion phase will promptly succeed.
The onset of a new quarter will also contribute to this volatility expansion outlook, potentially ending XRP’s volatility fluctuations.
Critical XRP Price Levels To Monitor
The XRP price reached a critical support level of $1.60 every month.
This level corresponds with the monthly candlestick closures in May and June 2021 and is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the 591% rally the token experienced in just two months.
A prognosis similar to that of the monthly chart is also evident in the weekly chart, which lacks nuance.
However, the daily chart illustrates the significance of the $2 psychological level and how it defines consumer demand.
Consequently, investors should maintain a vigilant eye on $2, as a rebound here could be instrumental in initiating the rally that concludes the 206-day consolidation.
Additionally, the aforementioned chop could be terminated by disintegrating the aforementioned level.